007-Apr 14, 2025

☔ THE MONSOON’S NEW FACE: Climate Shifts in the Western Ghats and Coastal India

Theme & Tags:
🌧️ Climate Change, Hydrology, Livelihoods, Sustainable Development
📘 Category: Environment & Geography | GS Paper 1 & 3


🌿 Opening Whisper

Rain was once a rhythm—now it drums in panic, bursts without breath, and silences the soil.


🌦️ Key Highlights

  • +20% rainfall for every 1°C rise in temperature
  • Extreme rainfall events projected to increase by 16%
  • Annual rainfall may rise by 250–400 mm (moderate) or 200–670 mm (high emissions)
  • Temperature rise: Max by 1.7–3.2°C, Min by 1.9–3.6°C

📈 How the Water Cycle Is Changing

ElementChange
Indian Summer MonsoonWetter, more intense
Pre-Monsoon SeasonDrier, leading to drought risk
Watershed ResponseFlash floods, landslips, and disrupted runoff patterns
Climate Model ProjectionsBased on regional climate simulations and future scenarios

💧

Where the Clouds Shift – Waterscapes of the Western Ghats in Flux
“The cloud no longer arrives like a friend—it rages, forgets, and sometimes never comes.”


🌾 Risks & Vulnerabilities

  • Floods and landslides due to monsoon intensification
  • Droughts during dry pre-monsoon spells
  • Hydropower disruption from erratic water availability
  • Agricultural impact due to soil erosion and altered growing seasons

🛠️ What Needs to Be Done

SectorRequired Adaptation Actions
Water ManagementShort-term water storage, regional aquifer recharge programs
AgricultureCrop diversification, seasonal crop calendars, soil health
Energy SectorFlexible hydropower scheduling and hybrid renewable integration
Policy PlanningLocalised flood-drought forecasts and decentralized planning

🔬 Scientific Backing

  • Lead Author: Jobin Thomas, University of Mississippi
  • Published in: Journal of Environmental Management
  • Funded by: Department of Science and Technology, India
  • Approach: Downscaled climate modelling for 2040–2100 under multiple RCPs

📚 GS Mains Mapping

  • GS Paper 1 (Geography) – Monsoonal patterns and Indian climate
  • GS Paper 3 (Environment) – Disaster Management, Climate Adaptation, Agriculture

💭 A Thought Spark — by IAS Monk

We do not inherit rivers only to measure their flow—but to understand their memory and anticipate their fury.


🌊 Closing Whisper

When the sky forgets its rhythm, the earth must learn to listen again—with new tools and ancient patience.

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